Summer school on the Modelling and Predection of Weather Extremes

                                                                          (10-13 June 2014)

                                                          Annweiler (Germany), Kurhaus Trifels

High-impact extreme weather events, such as heavy rainfall and/or strong winds are very often associated
with intensive atmospheric fronts with strong gradients or deep moist convection. These events are governed
by mesoscale atmospheric dynamics, operating on horizontal scales ranging from a few to several hundred
kilometers. Forecasts of high-impact mesoscale weather are generated using ensemble prediction systems
(EPS) of limited area numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. For example, the German Meteorological
Service (Deutscher Wetterdienst; DWD) operates an ensemble based on the COSMO-DE model, which is a
state of the art convection resolving version of the Consortium for Small-Scale Modeling (COSMO) limited
area model.

This summer school intents to foster in interdisciplinary area between meteorology and statistics
that is important to increase the reliability of weather forecasts, in particular of extreme weather events.

This summer school addresses

  • advanced Master students,
  • PhD students, and
  • Postdocs

who work are interested in the area of

  • Meteorology
  • Statistics / Stochastics

The summer school will deliver lectures on meteorology and statistics, including

  • Modelling of  Weather Extremes
  • Modelling of Mesoscale Extremes
  • Statistical Postprocessing
  • Score Functions
  • Spatial Extremes

The participants will have also the opportunity to present their work in a Poster session.

Kurhaus Tifels is situated in the Bindersbach valley near Annweiler in the beautiful forestry area of Pfälzerwald, 40 km from Mannheim, Kaiserslautern and Karlsruhe. By train, it takes 2 hours from Frankfurt Airport to Annweiler.